MODELLING POPULATIONS OF THE STALK-BORER Eldana saccharina, BASED ON THE CONDITIONS OF SUGAR CANE AS A HOST PLANT

نویسندگان

  • PETROVIOUS HORTON
  • JOHN HEARNE
  • JOSEPH APALOO
چکیده

Eldana saccharina Walker (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) has caused high yield losses in KwaZulu-Natal sugarcane. Early cutting is one of a number of methods being used to reduce losses due to E. saccharina infestations. A cohort based age-structured mathematical model was developed to enable sugarcane growers to simulate the effect of various seasonal conditions on E. saccharina infestation levels. The model takes into account the contribution of the condition of sugarcane (determined from the CANGRO model) to population dynamics of E. saccharina and calculates a crop damage index on each day of the simulation. Temperature dependence of the duration of each stage in the E. saccharina life cycle is an added parameter of the model. By running CANEGRO and E. saccharina models together, insight is gained on cutting cycle length determinations.

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تاریخ انتشار 2009